By Jannes van der Merwe

The African Continental Free Trade Area (“AfCFTA”) agreement, currently entered by 55 African countries, came into operation on 30 May 2019 and thereafter officially lodged in 2021. The purpose of the AfCFTA agreement is to create a single market for the continent, allowing free flow of goods and services across the continent and boost trading position of Africa in the global market[1].

While it is important to take into consideration that any change requires time, the question remains whether the AfCFTA agreement will in fact inject a positive change into Africa’s economy and promote intra-African trade.

The World bank predicts an economic growth for Africa, albeit it substantially low, indicating that the projected growth for Sub-Saharan Africa is 3% in 2024 and by 4% in 2025 to 2026, with East Africa expected to grow by 2.2% in 2024 and West Africa to grow by 3.9% in 2024.[2]

In 2023, the World bank further stated that research shows that the AfCFTA could lift 50 million people in Africa out of extreme poverty by 2035 and expand incomes by USD 571 billion[3].

Africa has been preparing itself for a growth in the Economy and the competition that comes with this in the broader African economy, by increasing regulatory infrastructure to oversee intra-African trade, with the likes of COMESA[4] and the recently functional ECOWAS[5], together with an increase of regulatory provision within African jurisdictions.  ‘

However, despite the preparation and readiness for a nuclear increase of intra-African trade, various factors have been hindering the progress. Africa has been riddled with uncertainties, related to political unrest, rising conflict and violence, climate shocks and high debt distress risks[6]. This leaves market leaders cautious to invest in Africa, and African entities to trade over and across these uncertain jurisdictions.

Article 4 of the AfCFTA agreement states that the specific objectives of the agreement is to progressively eliminate tariffs and non-tariff barriers; progressively liberalise trade in services; cooperate on investments, IP and competition policy; cooperate on all trade-related areas; cooperate on customs matters and the implementation of trade facilitation measures; establish a mechanism for the settlement of disputes concerning their rights and obligations; and to establish and maintain an institutional framework for the implementation and administration of AfCFTA.

South Africa has taken a positive step in this direction, as trade under the AfCFTA commenced during January 2024 where South African entities can export on a duty free, or reduced duty, for certain products. The South African Revenue Services has implemented the AfCFTA agreement and reduced the tariffs for these products[7]. However, the responsibility remains on African entities to promote the benefits of AfCFTA by increasing the intra-African trade and making full use of the economic gain that stems from the AfCFTA agreement.

While Africa is hopeful for the positive incorporation of the specific objectives of AfCFTA and the potential economic boost that AfCFTA can incorporate, this will only come with time, cooperation by the various African jurisdictions and proper implementation of the AfCFTA agreement.

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[1]See: https://www.eac.int/trade/international-trade/trade-agreements/african-continental-free-trade-area-afcfta-agreement.   

[2]See: https://www.worldbank.org/en/region/afr/overview.

[3] See: https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/trade/africa-pursues-free-trade-amid-global-fragmentation.

[4] Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa.

[5] Economic Community of West African States.

[6] See fn. 2 supra.

[7] The reduced tariffs can be found at https://www.sars.gov.za/legal-counsel/secondary-legislation/tariff-amendments/tariff-amendments-2024/